China’s military capabilities
At USD 250 billion in 2018, China’s defence budget is currently the
second-largest in the world. It is more than four times Russia’s budget, and
almost half of the United States budget. In terms of conventional
operational capabilities and experience of war, China is estimated to be far
behind the United States. Major investments are being made to modernise
ground force capabilities. Space and cyber capabilities are particular
priorities. Moreover, China aims to become a major maritime power,
which involves building up the country’s military sea power. For more
than ten years, China has participated in the international efforts to combat
piracy off the coast of Somalia. The armed forces have been reformed,
with increased investment in protecting interests abroad. China’s first
foreign military base was inaugurated in 2017 in Djibouti.
One important element of the development of China’s armed forces and
strengthening of its capabilities is the fusion of civilian and military
activities. The Chinese State wants to create a cohesive structure, with
research, public authorities and the business sector closely tied to the
armed forces so that civilian resources can be used for military purposes.
It is not possible to draw a clear line between military and civilian. This
also applies to academic exchange with other countries, where the Chinese
State places individuals at universities and higher education institutions
for the purposes of using their knowledge for military ends. The Chinese
National Intelligence Law, which establishes that Chinese companies and
citizens must assist in intelligence activities, reinforces the civil-military
fusion. Using this Law, China can get individual companies and people to
act in a coordinated way with a view to strengthening military capabilities
and promoting the country’s political and economic ambitions.
China in Sweden’s neighbourhood
The relationship between China and the US is more confrontational than
it has been for a long time. Chinese representatives have stated that the
country is prepared for military conflict with the US in the event of any
threat to what China considers its core interests, for example Taiwan.
Tensions between China and the US could have far-reaching global
consequences, and could affect cooperation between Europe and the
United States, as well as cooperation between Europe and China.
China’s relationship with Russia is developing, although it is associated
with uncertainty. The relationship is bound together by a common interest
in changing the international system to the advantage of their respective
countries, which has led to stronger diplomatic ties and increased trade.
Russia currently accounts for 12 per cent of China’s oil imports. Russia is
more dependent on China than vice versa. Russia has also fostered security
policy and military cooperation with China. This was clearly demonstrated
by China’s participation in Russia’s Vostok military exercise in 2018.
China also took part in Russia’s Joint Sea military exercise in the Baltic
Sea in 2017.
China has had observer status in the Arctic Council since 2013, and has
a presence in the Arctic via investments in Russia, Iceland and Greenland,
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